Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 10.805472 12.104268 13.534498 15.232765 17.202597 19.425377 22.137317
2025-10-26 9.234889 10.978798 13.047698 15.707477 19.071400 23.231993 28.842414
2025-11-02 8.055751 9.952739 12.315812 15.520441 19.822891 25.502606 33.745384
2025-11-09 7.178386 9.139147 11.677367 15.270159 20.335204 27.395904 38.309225
2025-11-16 6.526137 8.521213 11.189326 15.107702 20.872752 29.308704 43.117888
2025-11-23 5.926676 7.902587 10.618015 14.732290 21.011788 30.598152 47.113955
2025-11-30 5.510593 7.492546 10.286524 14.646633 21.539416 32.504546 52.377844
2025-12-07 5.019611 6.931259 9.681308 14.075930 21.224709 32.989774 55.238434
2025-12-14 4.556542 6.374176 9.034143 13.371618 20.603004 32.860603 56.926433
2025-12-21 4.252521 6.029907 8.677923 13.088791 20.637042 33.843839 60.854395
2025-12-28 4.341182 6.281194 9.250112 14.357580 23.454795 40.176021 76.662285
2026-01-04 4.206352 6.175464 9.248163 14.660613 24.591679 43.536406 86.986625
2026-01-11 3.926095 5.831193 8.850568 14.271213 24.460183 44.499530 92.414963
2026-01-18 3.823596 5.764968 8.904761 14.684155 25.900635 48.884273 107.059931
2026-01-25 3.624695 5.527300 8.651864 14.513792 26.174202 50.843998 116.177600
2026-02-01 3.433232 5.289551 8.381018 14.283273 26.295098 52.481532 124.884476
2026-02-08 3.271290 5.091258 8.164188 14.133695 26.562660 54.490656 135.196181
2026-02-15 3.091577 4.852334 7.859737 13.787901 26.371926 55.390686 142.531783
2026-02-22 2.966019 4.699432 7.698660 13.708979 26.751160 57.734622 155.034637
2026-03-01 2.784655 4.439970 7.328961 13.182917 26.076375 57.335194 158.589252
2026-03-08 2.598116 4.162989 6.912690 12.533135 25.058596 55.919134 158.398685
2026-03-15 2.477429 3.997170 6.693147 12.272025 24.914100 56.789006 166.509825
2026-03-22 2.552118 4.183673 7.142368 13.442585 28.289640 67.836527 216.399983